The Average True Range (ATR) is a technical analysis indicator that measures market volatility by analyzing the range of price movements over a specified period. Developed by J. Welles Wilder Jr. in his 1978 book “New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems,” ATR is widely used by traders to gauge the degree of price movement and volatility in a given asset, regardless of direction (up or down).
How ATR is Calculated
ATR is based on the concept of True Range (TR), which accounts for gaps and limit moves to provide a more accurate picture of volatility. The formula for TR is the greatest of the following three values:
- Current High minus Current Low
This represents the range within the current trading session. - Absolute Value of Current High minus Previous Close
This measures the potential volatility caused by a price gap up. - Absolute Value of Current Low minus Previous Close
This captures the potential volatility caused by a price gap down.
Once the True Range is calculated for each period, the ATR is computed as the exponential moving average (EMA) of the True Range over a specific number of periods, most commonly 14 periods.
Formula:
ATR = (Previous ATR \times (n-1) + Current TR) / n Where:
- n is the number of periods (usually 14),
- TR is the True Range for the current period.
Interpreting ATR:
- Higher ATR values indicate higher volatility, showing that the price of the asset is moving significantly during a given time period.
- Lower ATR values indicate lower volatility, reflecting that the asset is experiencing smaller price fluctuations.
ATR doesn’t provide signals about the direction of price movement, but it helps traders understand how much the price might fluctuate, enabling better risk management.
Common Uses of ATR:
- Stop-Loss Placement:
Traders often use ATR to set stop-loss levels based on market volatility. A larger ATR suggests placing wider stop losses to accommodate larger price swings, while a smaller ATR might suggest tighter stops. - Identifying Market Volatility:
ATR is used to identify high or low volatility markets, which can help in selecting appropriate trading strategies. For example, trend-following strategies might work better in high volatility markets, while range-bound strategies might be more effective during low volatility periods. - Breakout Indicators:
ATR can be used to detect potential breakouts. A sudden increase in ATR could signal an upcoming price breakout, as volatility typically rises before large market moves. - Trailing Stop Mechanism:
Some traders use a multiple of the ATR to create a trailing stop, ensuring that their stops adjust dynamically with changing volatility.
Limitations:
- ATR is a non-directional indicator. It only shows the extent of volatility, not the direction of the market (whether prices are likely to go up or down).
- In markets with very low volatility, ATR can generate stop-losses that are too close, potentially leading to frequent stop-outs.
ATR is widely used in both day trading and longer-term strategies to measure volatility and optimize trade management, helping traders avoid getting stopped out prematurely in volatile markets.