The Ichimoku Cloud (Ichimoku Kinko Hyo), often referred to as “Ichimoku,” is a versatile technical analysis indicator that defines support and resistance, identifies trend direction, gauges momentum, and provides trading signals. It was developed by Japanese journalist Goichi Hosoda in the late 1930s, though it was only published in the 1960s.
The Ichimoku Cloud consists of five lines or calculations, two of which form a shaded area (the “cloud”) between them. Here’s a breakdown of the components:
1. Tenkan-sen (Conversion Line)
- Formula: (9-period high + 9-period low) / 2
- Represents short-term price momentum and indicates potential trend reversals.
2. Kijun-sen (Base Line)
- Formula: (26-period high + 26-period low) / 2
- Signals medium-term price momentum and serves as a key support/resistance level.
3. Senkou Span A (Leading Span A)
- Formula: (Tenkan-sen + Kijun-sen) / 2, plotted 26 periods ahead.
- One of the boundaries of the cloud, it signals potential future support or resistance.
4. Senkou Span B (Leading Span B)
- Formula: (52-period high + 52-period low) / 2, plotted 26 periods ahead.
- The second boundary of the cloud and a long-term indicator of support/resistance.
5. Chikou Span (Lagging Span)
- Current closing price, plotted 26 periods back.
- Helps confirm the direction of the trend by comparing current price levels to those in the past.
The Cloud (Kumo)
- The area between Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B is called the “Kumo” or cloud.
- When the price is above the cloud, it indicates a bullish trend.
- When the price is below the cloud, it suggests a bearish trend.
- If the price is within the cloud, the market is considered to be in a consolidation or neutral phase.
Interpretation and Usage
- Trend Direction: The overall direction of the price is determined by whether the price is above or below the cloud.
- Support/Resistance: The cloud acts as dynamic support and resistance depending on whether the price is above or below it.
- Momentum: The Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen provide signals for short- and medium-term momentum shifts, while the Chikou Span confirms the trend.
Trading Signals:
- Bullish Crossover: When Tenkan-sen crosses above Kijun-sen, it signals a potential buy.
- Bearish Crossover: When Tenkan-sen crosses below Kijun-sen, it signals a potential sell.
- Cloud Breakout: A breakout above or below the cloud can indicate the start of a new trend.
The Ichimoku Cloud provides a comprehensive view of market conditions, making it a powerful tool for both trend-following and breakout strategies. However, it is most effective in trending markets and may generate false signals in sideways or choppy conditions.